The Killer Quarter

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As the blanket defence has become mainstream in Gaelic football, and to a lesser extent, hurling, the value of moving the ball quickly from one end of the field to the other appears to have become extremely significant, especially on kick-outs in football.

More and more we’re realising that the figures in Zonal Kick-out Analysis become more and more consistent and predictable when you further break the six times/zones into how quickly the ball was moved forward upon winning the kick-out.

How it Works.

It’s relatively new statistical analysis territory, so we need more data, before we come up with a more definitive system. For now, it works on the basis that moving the ball a quarter of the field forward from the point of winning a kick-out, while breaching the opposition, within 17.5 seconds of the ball going dead on a short kick-out, within 19.5 seconds on a kick-out to the half back line and within 21 seconds to midfield, constitutes breaching “the Killer Quarter”.

Based on figures from an increasing number of matches, breaching this “Killer Quarter” constitutes a hugely increased possibility of turning a kick-out into a score, and by reverse, not conceding a score on the turnover (which there won’t be if your team scores).